Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 199.229070 229.988306 264.818167 307.358157 358.155088 417.165330 491.339081
2025-10-12 162.624548 203.292146 253.907870 322.263703 413.283727 531.905359 700.839035
2025-10-19 136.228911 179.608149 237.168333 320.523919 440.487240 610.591832 876.901881
2025-10-26 121.551390 167.344828 231.386359 329.706383 480.911874 711.701195 1105.019820
2025-11-02 109.288801 155.964971 224.174548 334.225690 513.469026 805.411199 1342.584500
2025-11-09 99.851247 147.058620 218.776752 339.753975 547.352755 906.430718 1616.829514
2025-11-16 90.886746 137.540027 210.844027 339.421964 570.555892 992.674904 1885.589079
2025-11-23 83.224488 129.045148 203.258519 338.145748 591.233577 1077.561035 2174.073465
2025-11-30 77.578938 123.104867 199.010028 341.793430 621.145289 1185.677920 2543.174879
2025-12-07 69.986172 113.084043 186.597744 328.702890 616.212354 1221.485854 2756.427545
2025-12-14 64.748555 106.553181 179.531114 324.592035 628.435119 1296.038661 3087.400469
2025-12-21 61.352499 102.888881 177.159179 329.156392 659.390708 1418.887480 3585.754728
2025-12-28 59.828963 102.848412 182.241262 351.150171 736.658601 1680.385901 4613.575435
2026-01-04 57.642557 101.418650 184.654994 368.421064 808.304481 1953.333254 5833.048683
2026-01-11 53.612176 96.046776 178.636123 366.379779 833.207573 2110.387256 6758.941514
2026-01-18 51.278025 93.687230 178.356843 377.128156 892.775927 2385.187927 8285.521317
2026-01-25 48.663598 90.486282 175.918387 382.421314 939.352281 2637.901941 9903.395645
2026-02-01 46.392469 87.740461 174.100817 388.898948 990.904227 2925.986189 11900.078681
2026-02-08 43.792081 84.055999 169.801917 388.509837 1022.803578 3160.655086 13842.312949
2026-02-15 41.351759 80.478917 165.340120 387.014239 1051.274034 3395.243570 16002.020095
2026-02-22 39.521005 78.036854 163.187661 391.289379 1099.042458 3723.325872 19032.894380
2026-03-01 36.577330 72.918422 154.288192 375.953099 1080.036713 3780.173901 20445.499350
2026-03-08 34.537966 69.635938 149.414741 371.140499 1095.504705 3989.273458 23136.271380